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The situation duality consists that occurrence of the western money is in many respects defined by a condition of the Russian market and the tendency of its movement, and behaviour of the market, in turn, is unequivocally connected with occurrence of new foreign investors. The exit from this vicious circle, possibly, lays in the field of expectations.

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We will assume, we have quotations on a series TO for a certain time interval. Having spent approximation, we will receive function of the equation of regress with the minimum error. To check up, whether there corresponds the given function of real dependence, will calculate the forecast of course cost for repayment date. In case of considerable deviations from real size other kind of dependence with a small error undertakes. If прогнозное value is close to real, this kind of dependence undertakes and is used for forecasting of a course for shorter time intervals.

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the emitter could involve means from the market under more low interest, but it is already connected with conditions of release of securities).

In inflationary economy at fast growth of rates of percent this kind of risk matters and for short-term securities.

Revocable risk - risk of losses for the investor in case the emitter will withdraw revocable bonds in connection with excess of the fixed level of percentage payments on them over current market percent.

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First of all, it is an indicator of a variation which measures norms of the income. Once again we will remind, that for calculation ­ of a variation of discrete distribution (i.e. прорывного with final ­ number of variants), use the formula

(35),

Where V - a variation.

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Modern researches ­ in the western market have shown, that optimum диверсифика­ция a small portfolio should make 8-20 types of securities. At portfolio increase диверсификация should increase. Portfolios large ИФ contain securities of an order of 100 securities of various emitters.

Traditional schemes of management of portfolios of securities have three basic versions:

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For work as the adviser the licence is not required, registration of such citizen as the businessman however is necessary.

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However each valuable paper separately cannot reach similar result.

The primary goal портфельного investments - to improve investment conditions, having given to set of securities such investment characteristics which are unattainable from a position of separately taken valuable paper, and are possible only at their combination.

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If the relative price of risk is more than unit, means, the given kind of securities is characterised большей by riskiness in comparison with the share market as a whole and on the contrary.

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